Strategy
How to Prepare for a Stock Market Crash (Before It Happens)
I review five topics that you need to know to prepare for a stock market crash. Learn how to allocate to non-equity assets classes to reduce risk.
Read MoreInvest Now or Wait for a Stock Market Crash?
The US stock market is exceptionally high, but Investors think the market will do well over the long term. Buying stocks at this level of valuation has led to losses and low interest rates can’t help this market much more. A re-rating drove the recent strong performance, expect 3%, not 16% per year over the next 5 years.
Read MoreWill the Stock Market Eventually Crash?
In this video, I try to answer the following questions: Will the stock market crash like in 2008? Will the Fed crash the stock market? Will the stock market crash because of inflation? and many more.
Read MoreInflation Uptick Could Make the US Stock Market Go a Bit Further
One of the biggest challenges an investor faces right now is what to do with the US stock market. It is expensive, but the US Government and the Fed seem willing to do anything to keep the market from crashing. My conclusion at this point is that I will ride the US market up a bit further.
Read MoreInvestors Feel Almost No Risk of Long-Term US Stock Market Downside
I asked in a poll, “What US S&P500 average annual return do you expect over the next 10 years?” At the most extremes, 18% expected greater than 10%, while only 7% said less than zero percent. The majority said from 5-10%. In fact, most people see strong positive returns going forward.
Read MoreWhat Index Fund or ETF Holds the Largest Number of Stocks?
The Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund, also available as ETF, currently holds 9,045 stocks. We have yet to find an alternative that holds a more globally diversified portfolio.
Read MoreEconomies in Asia Are turning
We’ve seen a 1Q21 GDP recovery in North Asia, but the GDP growth is still negative in South East Asia. A rise in oil price could hit Singapore, Thailand, and Korea hard.
Read MoreCOVID-19 Disproportionately Hurts the Elderly, Obese, and Poor
My recent work on COVID-19 has revealed four main conclusions: The virus attacks those over 54, there are four common COVID-19 related death comorbidities, those who struggle with obesity are highly vulnerable, the response by governments has pushed 150 million people into poverty.
Read MoreCrypto Is An Uncorrelated Asset Class
Chart of the Day: Bitcoin’s value has grown in value by almost 65,000x. Bitcoin, hence cryptocurrencies, is uncorrelated with other major asset classes.
Read MoreMafia Monetary Policy – MMT Is Actually MMP
It turns out that Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) is actually Mafia Monetary Policy (MMP). MMP is the US gov’t using force against others by hot and cold war means. The world is searching for an alternative to the US$, but the US gov’t will fight to the death to maintain its power.
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