Become a Better Investor Newsletter – 8 June 2024
Noteworthy this week
- Bond/Gold ratio signals global financial weakness
- Nvidia gains US$1trn+ and overtakes Apple
- China dumps US Treasuries for Gold
- Buffett likes US Treasuries, though
- US$9trn of US gov’t debt maturing soon
Bond/Gold ratio signals global financial weakness: The ratio can be seen as the relative strength of the global financial system. When the global financial system is being well managed, then paper money (like US bonds) performs well against gold and commodities.
Hat tip to @BonnerPrivate on a timely reminder of one of the most important long-term chart in the world. This chart shows the ratio of U.S. bonds (Bloomberg’s U.S. Treasury total return index) to gold. pic.twitter.com/Z6WVchEFZt
— Porter Stansberry (@porterstansb) June 4, 2024
Nvidia gains US$1trn+ and overtakes Apple: Nvidia now has the second largest market cap in the US after Microsoft. Just in the past 32 trading days, Nvidia has gained more than US$1trn in market cap. The 6-week gain is greater than the total market cap of Berkshire Hathaway, which Buffett has spent 6 decades building.
Over the past 32 trading days, NVDA has gained more than $1 trillion in market cap. To put that into some sort of perspective, the 6-week gain is greater than the total market cap of BRKA, which Warren Buffett has spent 6 decades in building. pic.twitter.com/sBqKARV4fS
— Jesse Felder (@jessefelder) June 5, 2024
China dumps US Treasuries for Gold: China has been buying Gold and selling US Treasuries in the past decade.
China has been buying Gold and dumping US Treasuries like never before in history pic.twitter.com/Lky5WVQL02
— Michael Burry Stock Tracker ♟ (@burrytracker) June 4, 2024
Buffett likes US Treasuries, though: Berkshire Hathaway’s purchase of US Treasury bills has been so aggressive that it now owns 3% of the entire bill market, according to an estimate from JPMorgan.
Berkshire Hathaway’s purchase of Treasury bills has been so aggressive ($158B at the end of Q1) that it now owns 3% of the entire bill market, according to an estimate from JPMorgan 🤯🤯🤯https://t.co/Cgy1CPsop0
— Yun Li (@YunLi626) June 3, 2024
US$9trn of US gov’t debt maturing soon: This is likely to pressure the Fed to lower rates before the debt matures.
We have seem countless charts about US government interest expense going parabolic. Spoiler, should rates stay where they are, we have seen nothing yet,
Chart @MacroKova pic.twitter.com/dF4swChr3D
— Michael A. Arouet (@MichaelAArouet) May 31, 2024
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Weekly market performance
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Chart of the week
Discussed in the Become a Better Investor Community this week
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Podcasts we listened to this week
Morgan Housel: Get Rich, Stay Rich
“The skills it takes to get rich are drastically different from the skills it takes to stay rich. Few understand this phenomenon more than Morgan Housel.”
Readings this week
Stock Market Concentration: How Much Is Too Much?
“In this report, we look at concentration over the past 75 years to see where we stand today and to reflect on what it means for active equity managers.”
Book recommendation
Wealth, War and Wisdom by Barton Biggs
“In Wealth, War & Wisdom, legendary Wall Street investor Barton Biggs reveals how the turning points of World War II intersected with market performance, and shows how these lessons can help the twenty-first-century investor comprehend our own perilous times as well as choose the best strategies for the modern market economy.”
Get the book on Audible or Kindle.
Audible is great; have you tried it? If not, click here to get 2 books for free.
Memes of the week
Edmonton Oilers Change Name To ‘Edmonton 20% Renewable Energy By 2035ers’ https://t.co/DKjBxCSM7n pic.twitter.com/K1bKVSXe7g
— The Babylon Bee (@TheBabylonBee) June 4, 2024
Study Finds Most Americans Trust Dr Pepper Over Dr. Fauci https://t.co/Xi3QxxL14a pic.twitter.com/OmO4S86no7
— The Babylon Bee (@TheBabylonBee) June 5, 2024
New My Worst Investment Ever episodes
Enrich Your Future 01: The Determinants of the Risk and Return of Stocks and Bonds
In this episode of Enrich Your Future, Andrew and Larry Swedroe discuss Larry’s new book, Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing. In this series, they discuss Chapter 1: The Determinants of the Risk and Return of Stocks and Bonds.
LEARNING: Look for key metrics, traits, or characteristics that help them identify stocks that will outperform the market.
Access the episode’s show notes and resources
Published on Become a Better Investor this week
How do you know that the learning you and your colleagues are doing is leading to changes in behavior? In this episode, Bill and Andrew discuss little tests you can do to see if the transformation you’re working toward is really happening.
Listen to How to Test for Understanding: Awaken Your Inner Deming (Part 22)
Advanced Micro Devices Incorporated (AMD US): Profitable Growth rank of 8 was up compared to the prior period’s 9th rank. This is below average performance compared to 640 large Info Tech companies worldwide.
Read Advanced Micro Devices Inc – World Class Benchmarking
Bluestar Adisseo Company (600299 SH): Profitable Growth rank of 9 was down compared to the prior period’s 5th rank. This is poor performance compared to 750 large Materials companies worldwide.
Read Bluestar Adisseo – World Class Benchmarking
Procter & Gamble Company (PG US): Profitable Growth rank of 1 was up compared to the prior period’s 2nd rank. This is World Class performance compared to 550 large Cons. Staples companies worldwide.
Read Procter & Gamble – World Class Benchmarking
In May 2024, we published 4 new episodes of the My Worst Investment Ever podcast. Listen to all of them here.
Listen to My Worst Investment Ever May 2024
DISCLAIMER: This content is for information purposes only. It is not intended to be investment advice. Readers should not consider statements made by the author(s) as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. The author(s) cannot be held liable for any actions taken as a result of reading this article.