Become a Better Investor Newsletter – 25 January 2025
Noteworthy this week
- AI to replace investment bankers
- Worst US bond bear market ever
- Everyone is bearish on China
- Only 29% of S&P 500 companies outperformed
- The Trumps launch shitcoins
AI to replace investment bankers: Goldman Sachs CEO says that AI can draft 95% of an IPO prospectus “in minutes.”
I’m not sure people understand how important this is:
Goldman Sachs CEO says that AI can draft 95% of an IPO prospectus “in minutes.”
White collar jobs will go first…. and fast. pic.twitter.com/ZWbMEGIhhs
— John LeFevre (@JohnLeFevre) January 17, 2025
Worst US bond bear market ever: US bonds have experienced their worst bear market in history: 30-year Treasuries have declined 51% since March 2020, marking the largest drawdown on record.
US bonds have experienced their worst bear market in history:
30-year Treasuries have declined 51% since March 2020, marking the largest drawdown on record.
This has significantly exceeded the previous drawdown of 30% in the aftermath of the 2008 Financial Crisis.
Furthermore,… pic.twitter.com/d5oblPCeqF
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) January 21, 2025
Everyone is bearish on China: Short interest in China is still near an all-time high despite Chinese stocks bottoming a year ago.
Short interest in China is still near an all-time high, despite Chinese stocks bottoming a year ago.
Everyone is bearish on China, asking what more can go wrong.
That is how bull markets begin. pic.twitter.com/znuIyRXirh
— Subu Trade (@SubuTrade) January 21, 2025
Only 29% of S&P 500 companies outperformed: Only 29% of S&P 500 companies have outperformed the index over the past two years, one of the lowest levels since 1990.
This is a crazy stat:
“Only 29% of S&P 500 companies have outperformed the index over the past two years, one of the lowest levels since 1990.” – BofA@michaellebowitz @SoberLook pic.twitter.com/piVHWeyBbv— Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) January 22, 2025
The Trumps launch shitcoins: Just before Donald Trump’s inauguration, he launched a memecoin that reached billions of dollars of market cap. Shortly thereafter, a Melania Trump coin was launched. We sure live in interesting times.
$TRUMP and $MELANIA are bearish for $BTC because they reveal the scam inherent in all cryptocurrencies. You invent a new form money, and YOU get to start out with 100% of it? Or rather, as an early adopter, you get the privilege of minting it at a much lower cost than everyone…
— Jesse Livermore (@Jesse_Livermore) January 19, 2025
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Weekly market performance
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Discussed in the Become a Better Investor Community this week
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Podcasts we listened to this week
Paul Podolsky: The Uncomfortable Truth About Money: How to Live with Uncertainty and Learn to Think for Yourself – Talking Billions
“Paul Podolsky is an author, podcaster, journalist, and investor who spent time in Russia in the 1990s, and then worked on Wall Street for over two decades, much of it at Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest hedge fund, with Ray Dalio as his boss. His father worked on the Manhattan Project, with Robert Oppenheimer as his boss.”
Readings this week
Mental Models: The Best Way to Make Intelligent Decisions (~100 Models Explained)
“A mental model is a simplified explanation of how something works. Any idea, belief, or concept can be boiled down to its essence. Like a map, mental models highlight key information while ignoring irrelevant details. They’re tools for compressing complexity into manageable chunks. Mental models help us understand the world. .”
Book recommendation
Becoming Nobody: The Essential Ram Dass Collection
“The game is not about becoming somebody, it’s about becoming nobody.”
Get the book on Audible.
Audible is great; have you tried it? If not, click here to get 2 books for free.
Memes of the week
Leaked image of the research tool OpenAI used to come up with their $500 billion number for Stargate pic.twitter.com/bUjMotlXbl
— Dr. Parik Patel, BA, CFA, ACCA Esq. (@ParikPatelCFA) January 22, 2025
😂 this meme will never die pic.twitter.com/vNQaPj2Gi8
— Barchart (@Barchart) January 15, 2025
New My Worst Investment Ever episodes
Ep796: Mitch Russo – Sell It First Before You Build It
BIO: Mitch Russo is a serial entrepreneur who built and sold his first software company for eight figures, scaled a $25M business with Tony Robbins and Chet Holmes, and was twice nominated for Inc. Entrepreneur of the Year.
STORY: Mitch bought several Amazon stores to make passive income, which he did for a while. Unfortunately, the lucky streak ended after Amazon significantly reduced the commissions it paid to its resellers, and Google changed its algorithm. Now, Mitch’s SEO pages were not working, and nobody was finding them.
LEARNING: Never start a business without knowing who will buy the product. Try to sell your product/service before you build it.
Access the episode’s show notes and resources
Published on Become a Better Investor this week
In this episode of Enrich Your Future, Andrew and Larry Swedroe discuss Larry’s new book, Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing. In this series, they discuss Chapter 22: Some Risks are Not Worth Taking.
Listen to Enrich Your Future 22: Some Risks Are Not Worth Taking
Central Retail Corporation Public Company Limited (CRC TB): Profitable Growth rank of 7 was up compared to the prior period’s 8th rank. This is below average performance compared to 940 large Cons. Disc. companies worldwide.
Read Central Retail Corporation – World Class Benchmarking
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co Ltd (329180 KS): Profitable Growth rank of 2 was up compared to the prior period’s 9th rank. This is World Class performance compared to 1,410 large Industrials companies worldwide.
Read HD Hyundai Heavy Industries – World Class Benchmarking
Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech Company Limited (000970 SZ): Profitable Growth rank of 10 was down compared to the prior period’s 9th rank. This is poor performance compared to 620 large Info Tech companies worldwide.
Read Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech – World Class Benchmarking
DigiPlus Interactive Corporation (PLUS PM): Profitable Growth rank of 1 was same compared to the prior period’s 1st rank. This is World Class performance compared to 940 large Cons. Disc. companies worldwide.
Read DigiPlus Interactive Corp – World Class Benchmarking
DISCLAIMER: This content is for information purposes only. It is not intended to be investment advice. Readers should not consider statements made by the author(s) as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. The author(s) cannot be held liable for any actions taken as a result of reading this article.