Become a Better Investor Newsletter – 5 August 2023
Noteworthy this week
- Fitch downgrades US gov’t debt
- Americans don’t have much savings
- Uber delivers first operating profit ever
- S&P 500 has one of its best years
- Electrification demands minerals and metals
Fitch downgrades US gov’t debt: Some fascinating historical accounts in this tweet. However, Fitch’s downgrade is likely to have a limited impact on markets.
Fitch just downgraded US govt debt for 1st time since August 2011. Following the downgrade then, 10-yr yields declined (!) and the dollar (after brief and short decline) moved sharply higher (!!). HOWEVER, credit spreads widened and gold spurted from $1660 to $1900 in one month.
— steph pomboy (@spomboy) August 1, 2023
Americans don’t have much savings: 40% of US adults now have less than US$1,000 in savings. Let that sink in.
40% of US adults now have less than $1,000 in savings.
Is the American dream dead? pic.twitter.com/azrYdMZqO4
— Chairman (@WSBChairman) July 30, 2023
Uber delivers first operating profit ever: Uber announced US$326 million in operating profit after accumulating US$31.5 BILLION in operating losses since 2014. Thanks for subsidizing car rides, I guess.
“Uber has $31.5bn in operating losses since 2014” pic.twitter.com/gErmcm7AmV
— Liberty 💚🥃 (@LibertyRPF) August 2, 2023
S&P 500 has one of its best years: Looking at the price return of the S&P 500 as of July 31st, the 2023YTD performance ranks as the 10th best year since 1927.
Stocks continue one of their best years on record. With price-only S&P 500 data going back to 1927, this year ranks as the tenth best through July 31.
Only 1933, 1987, 1975, 1997, 1989, 1954, 1995, 1943, and 1955 posted better returns through the first seven months of the year.… pic.twitter.com/nane2H3W5Y
— Jim Bianco (@biancoresearch) August 1, 2023
Electrification demands minerals and metals: Access to the required minerals and metals is likely to continue to play an important role in geopolitics.
The US DOE releases its critical mineral assessment which I broadly agree with.
Longer term is the big issue for the elements that are crucial to making the energy transition work.
For me: lithium stores energy and copper moves it.
Every other element is working around this… pic.twitter.com/XvEPV6O1ft
— Simon Moores (@sdmoores) August 1, 2023
Join the world’s toughest valuation training
Become a Valuation Expert. Valuation Master Class Boot Camp graduates can confidently value any company in the world and possess in-demand industry skills.
Weekly market performance
Click here to see more markets and periods.
Chart of the week
Discussed in the Become a Better Investor Community this week
“We go live 1 hour from now to talk about Stocks for the long run.”
Try 1 month of the Become a Better Investor Community for FREE today!
You can cancel at any time. Click here to learn more.
Podcasts we listened to this week
Naval Ravikant: The Angel Philosopher (2017)
“No episode in the eight-year history of The Knowledge Project has made a bigger impact than when Naval Ravikant appeared on the show in 2017.”
Readings this week
Why Investors Need to Understand Corporate Demographics
“Investors seeking to generate excess returns can benefit from understanding the demographics of public companies and their patterns of wealth creation.”
The (In)Accuracy of Market Forecasts
“A large body of evidence demonstrates that market forecasts from ‘gurus’ have no value in terms of adding alpha.”
Book recommendation
Drunk: How We Sipped, Danced, and Stumbled Our Way to Civilization by Edward Slingerland
“Drawing on evidence from archaeology, history, cognitive neuroscience, psychopharmacology, social psychology, literature, and genetics, Drunk shows that our taste for chemical intoxicants is not an evolutionary mistake, as we are so often told.”
Get the book on Audible or Kindle
Audible is great; have you tried it? If not, click here to get 2 books for free.
Memes of the week
I love this meme pic.twitter.com/BxpfHwTEnI
— Dividend Growth Investor (@DividendGrowth) July 31, 2023
When logic goes out the window, you know “it’s different this time.”
I just laugh and remember the wise words by Benjamin Graham about ignoring Mr. Market. pic.twitter.com/naF7UThEuz
— Carlo Ferlauto (@CarloFerlauto) August 2, 2023
New My Worst Investment Ever episodes
ISMS 28: Stocks for the Long Run
What long-term return do you expect for US stocks?
Today, Andrew is talking about a book that has landed on his desk; Stocks for the Long Run: The Definitive Guide to Financial Market Returns & Long-Term Investment Strategies.
In his book, Siegel tells us to expect a 5% long-term real US stock market return. One of the first charts that he shares in the book shows the US nominal returns.
Access the episode’s show notes and resources
Ep717: Folarin Daniel Adeboye – Business and Friendship Can Never Mix
BIO: Folarin Daniel Adeboye was a CEO and Co-Founder at F&K Savings. In 5 years of operations, F&K Savings was able to onboard over 35,000 users while processing over 4 million dollars in transaction volume.
STORY: Daniel and his partner’s desire to grow F&K Savings fast made them lose substantial money to an investment they blindly entered. This, and other managerial mistakes, caused the business to go under.
LEARNING: Don’t mix pleasure or family with business. Never forget why you got started.
Access the episode’s show notes and resources
Published on Become a Better Investor this week
In this episode, David and Andrew ask: should we tell people when they make mistakes? How do educators manage mistakes in a classroom setting, after their organization/classroom is transformed by learning and implementing Deming?
Listen to Managing Mistakes: Role of a Manager in Education (Part 6)
In this episode of Investment Strategy Made Simple (ISMS), Andrew and Larry discuss three chapters of Larry’s book Investment Mistakes Even Smart Investors Make and How to Avoid Them. In this eighth episode, they discuss mistake number 13: Do you confuse the familiar with the safe? Mistake number 14: Do you believe you’re playing with the house’s money? And mistake number 15: Do you let friendship influence your choice of investment advisors?
Read ISMS 27: Larry Swedroe – Familiar Doesn’t Make It Safe and You’re Not Playing With the House’s Money
SM Prime Holdings Incorporated (SMPH PM): Profitable Growth rank of 3 was up compared to the prior period’s 4th rank. This is above average performance compared to 220 large Real Estate companies worldwide.
Read SM Prime Holdings – World Class Benchmarking
In July 2023, we published 13 new episodes of the My Worst Investment Ever podcast and one blog post. Listen to all of them here.
Listen to My Worst Investment Ever July 2023
Giant Network Group Company Limited (002558 SZ): Profitable Growth rank of 4 was down compared to the prior period’s 3rd rank. This is above average performance compared to 210 medium Comm. Serv. companies worldwide.
Read Giant Network Group – World Class Benchmarking
DISCLAIMER: This content is for information purposes only. It is not intended to be investment advice. Readers should not consider statements made by the author(s) as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. The author(s) cannot be held liable for any actions taken as a result of reading this article.