All Weather Strategy
A. Stotz All Weather Strategy – December 2020
All Weather Strategy: The All Weather Strategy performed in line with World equity in December. Vaccine news, stimulus, and stimulus expectations can drive stock markets further. Currently, our equity target allocation is at the strategy max of 85%.
Read MoreA. Stotz All Weather Strategy – November 2020
All Weather Strategy: The All Weather Strategy underperformed as World equity recovered in the past three months. President Biden, stimulus checks, and vaccine news lead to positive sentiment. We increase our equity allocation to the strategy maximum of 85%.
Read MoreA. Stotz All Weather Strategy – October 2020
All Weather Strategy: The All Weather Strategy outperformed as World equity fell in October. US election day won’t end uncertainty, China is driving an Asian recovery. We continue to focus on downside protection with 15% short-term gov’t bonds and 30% gold.
Read MoreHow High Can the Gold Price Go?
As gold surpassed US$2,000/oz t recently, many raised their 12-mth gold targets to US$2,100-3,000. Some gold bugs are talking about US$5,000-25,000/oz t.
Read MoreA. Stotz All Weather Strategy – September 2020
All Weather Strategy: The All Weather Strategy outperformed as World equity fell in September. It appears there could be a second lockdown on the way in Europe, first out is the UK. We continue to focus on downside protection with 15% short-term gov’t bonds and 30% gold.
Read MoreA. Stotz All Weather Strategy – August 2020
All Weather Strategy: The All Weather Strategy has underperformed World equity, due to the forceful rebound in stocks. We remain cautious with a conservative equity allocation, focus on downside protection, and keep 30% in gold.
Read MoreA. Stotz All Weather Strategy – July 2020
All Weather Strategy: The strategy had a lower return than World equity in July, as equity rebound continued. We continue to focus on downside protection with 30% short-term gov’t bonds and 30% gold. Gold has also helped the return of the strategy and was the best performer in July.
Read MoreA. Stotz All Weather Strategy – June 2020
All Weather Strategy: The strategy had a lower return than World equity in June, as equity remained strong. Fed can’t rescue the market forever, even if the virus is under control, other issues remain. Continued focus on downside protection with 30% short-term gov’t bonds and 30% gold.
Read MoreA. Stotz All Weather Strategy – May 2020
All Weather Strategy: The All Weather Strategy has underperformed World equity, due to the forceful rebound in stocks. We move away from our ultra-conservative equity target allocation but remain cautious and focus on downside protection.
Read MoreActive and Passive Funds in Thailand
We look at 277 Thai equity mutual funds of which 90% are active and only 10% are passive. 78% of active funds have an R-squared >85%, hence, it appears those funds are closet-indexers.
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