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Become a Better Investor Newsletter – 4 April 2026

Noteworthy this week

  • Energy is on a tear
  • The Strait of Hormuz doesn’t just move oil
  • Foreigners are dumping Asian stocks
  • Stagflation risk has increased
  • Foreigners own less US Treasuries

Energy is on a tear: Following the US-Israel-Iran war, the energy index is up 14 weeks in a row.

The Strait of Hormuz doesn’t just move oil: It moves the fertilizer that feeds half the planet, helium that manufactures your chips, and LNG that keeps hospital MRI machines running.

Foreigners are dumping Asian stocks: Investors from overseas have sold US$52bn of Asian Emerging-Market equities excluding China so far in March, the biggest monthly withdrawal on record.

Stagflation risk has increased: The conflict in the Middle East and rising geopolitical tensions have shifted the macro narrative away from a Goldilocks backdrop. While this is not our base case, the risk balance has worsened, and the probability of stagflation has increased.

Foreigners own less US Treasuries: The share of the outstanding universe of Treasuries held by foreign investors has steadily decreased over the past 15 years (in large part due to China).


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Weekly market performance


Chart of the week


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Podcasts we listened to this week

#352 Jeffrey Gundlach: Private Credit Is An Unmitigated Disaster, And It’s Only Going To Get Worse| The Julia La Roche Show

“Gundlach makes the case that we are living through a fundamental regime shift — one where the next recession brings rising long-term interest rates and a falling dollar, the exact opposite of what most investors expect. He breaks down why the private credit market is shaping up to be the defining financial stress of this cycle, drawing parallels to subprime in 2006 and revealing just how opaque and potentially dangerous the marks in that market really are.”

Listen on Apple or Spotify.


Readings this week

In Annual Letter, BlackRock’s Larry Fink Omits Climate Change, DEI And ESG

“On March 31, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink released his annual Chairman’s Letter to Investors. After years of advocacy, in 2024, Fink began rolling back support of environmental, social, and governance as a priority. In 2025, ESG, sustainability, climate change, and DEI were notably absent as he pushed for more energy production and the expansion of nuclear power.”

Read the article.


 

Memes of the week


Published on Become a Better Investor this week

Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited (JCNC SP): Profitable Growth rank of 8 was down compared to the prior period’s 7th rank. This is below average performance compared to 920 large Cons. Disc. companies worldwide.

Read Jardine Cycle & Carriage – World Class Benchmarking

Korea, Thailand, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Malaysia were the only markets with a positive return in 1Q26. Korea was the strongest performer in USD and local terms.

Read Korea Was the Best Performer in Asia in 1Q26

In March 2026, we published 1 new episode of the My Worst Investment Ever podcast. Listen to all of them here.

Read My Worst Investment Ever March 2026

Cetc Potevio Science & Technology Company Limited (002544 SZ): Profitable Growth rank of 7 was up compared to the prior period’s 8th rank. This is below average performance compared to 730 medium Info Tech companies worldwide.

Read Cetc Potevio Science & Technology – World Class Benchmarking

STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI TB): Profitable Growth rank of 3 was up compared to the prior period’s 6th rank. This is above average performance compared to 380 small Materials companies worldwide.

Read STP&I – World Class Benchmarking


DISCLAIMER: This content is for information purposes only. It is not intended to be investment advice. Readers should not consider statements made by the author(s) as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. The author(s) cannot be held liable for any actions taken as a result of reading this article.