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Thailand Appears Moderately Attractive in Asia

#Thailand appears moderately attractive in Asia considering Fundamentals, Valuation, Momentum, and Risk #FVMR


Four Pillars of GDP: Driven by investments and private consumption

As of 2Q19 Thailand has moderate GDP growth; slowdown from as of 1Q19 and 4Q18. GDP growth has mainly been driven by investments and private consumption. Net exports have been a heavy drag on GDP growth–suffering from the strong Thai Baht.

Thailand has good ROE

The Thai market trades above Asia ex Japan and ASEAN markets at 2019CE* 16.1x PE. EPS growth expectations are slightly lower than Asia ex Japan and ASEAN. ROE, however, is comparatively strong relative to both Asia ex Japan and ASEAN.

A. Stotz Four Elements: Thailand’s rank relative to Asia

Overall, Thailand appears moderately attractive in Asia considering all our four elements: Fundamentals, Valuation, Momentum, and Risk.

Fundamentals: Strong ROE.

Valuation: Trades above Asia ex Japan and ASEAN on both PE and PB.

Momentum: Poor price momentum and moderate earnings growth.

Risk: Moderate volatility and low beta relative to Asia ex Japan.

Great performance in Communication Services and Utilities

Top 3 largest sectors: Financials: 16% of the market; Energy: 13%; Consumer Staples: 12%.

Best sector & stock: Communication Services: +20.4% & Plan B Media PCL: +35.6%.

Worst sector & stock: Health Care: -5.2% & Bumrungrad Hospital PCL: -18.6%.

 

*CE is consensus estimates.


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DISCLAIMER: This content is for information purposes only. It is not intended to be investment advice. Readers should not consider statements made by the author(s) as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. The author(s) cannot be held liable for any actions taken as a result of reading this article.